Colorless-Pantologist
0x2cb2b1d08d732e1e8cdd681dfc774d28d7167625
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$727.28
Total PnL
$-118.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1000 shares @ 35.7¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$344.90
$-12.60
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
500 shares @ 60.8¢·now 63.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$317.50
$13.50
- YES
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?
10000 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$40.00
$-122.35
- YES
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?
535 shares @ 4.1¢·now 4.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.89
$3.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?$2.64Jul 29, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?$0.02Jul 29, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?$0.04Jul 29, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?$13.08Jul 28, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?$0.00Jul 28, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?$0.01Jul 28, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?$0.02Jul 28, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?$2.40Jul 28, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?$0.66Jul 28, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?$2.43Jul 27, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?$1.68Jul 27, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?$0.28Jul 27, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?$2.84Jul 26, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?$3.58Jul 26, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$124.00Jul 26, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$10.67Jul 25, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$17.85Jul 25, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$90.00Jul 25, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?$1.31Jul 23, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?$9.42Jul 23, 20:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $13.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 16:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 12:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.