Fearless-Wrist
0x2ce0a8ae45c3d3c75c544b25c5dbb234a68dfa22
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$20.64
Total PnL
$-279.62
Realised
$13.20
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
25 shares @ 24.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$6.63
$0.63
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026?
27 shares @ 15.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.07
$-0.93
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
4 shares @ 46.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.93
$-0.07
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?
8538 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-28.99
- YES
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?$1.08Jun 3, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026?$4.14Jun 2, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 2, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.03Jun 2, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1.05Jun 2, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$5.00Jun 1, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?$0.39Jun 1, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Trump Passport" in May?$0.00Jun 1, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.35Jun 1, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Travis Kelce retire before next season?$0.97Jun 1, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Chicken" in May?$0.01Jun 1, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Ramzes Club vs TPaBoMaH Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A$4.56Jun 1, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Ramzes Club vs TPaBoMaH Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A$3.03Jun 1, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$6.18Jun 1, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2$1.03Jun 1, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2$1.03Jun 1, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be 76°F or higher on June 1?$1.04Jun 1, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2$6.33May 31, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.01May 31, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00May 31, 05:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 07:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 14:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".