Untimely-Ethernet
0x2ce69d54f4d4a2602ca378d71b59ebe9a927e378
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$-49.33
Win rate
75%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- BULLS
Bulls vs. Thunder
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
- SUNS
Suns vs. Lakers
15752 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-565.28
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- PELICANS
Pelicans vs. Kings
2358 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-19.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2059 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-154.49
- YES
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?
1229 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-16.20
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-135.00
- YES
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1000 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$100.00Jul 10, 01:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 1, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 28, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 27, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.