Difficult-Baseline

• NO

  US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

  250 shares @ 59.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026

  $188.75

  $41.25

• NO

  Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

  65394 shares @ 45.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025

  $0.00

  $-29.7K

• NO

  Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30?

  2501 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025

  $0.00

  $-2.1K

• NO

  Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

  2300 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025

  $0.00

  $-144.00

• NO

  Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by October 15?

  1550 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025

  $0.00

  $-1.0K

• NO

  Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?

  605 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025

  $0.00

  $-442.01

• YES

  Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 18–25?

  500 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025

  $0.00

  $-34.00

• NO

  Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

  500 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025

  $0.00

  $-170.00

• DOWN

  Ethereum Up or Down - July 19, 5AM ET

  418 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2025

  $0.00

  $-35.00

• NO

  Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?

  400 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025

  $0.00

  $-33.00

• TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.80May 11, 15:44 UTC
• TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$0.70May 11, 15:44 UTC
• TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$147.50May 11, 15:38 UTC
• TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$24.50Mar 17, 13:02 UTC
• REDEEMUS seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?$1.1KMar 9, 07:31 UTC
• TRADEBUYUS seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?$996.84Mar 3, 16:40 UTC
• TRADESELLWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$98.60Dec 16, 06:52 UTC
• REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$0.00Nov 14, 02:47 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$93.85Nov 4, 17:30 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$19.74Nov 4, 17:29 UTC
• REWARD$5.42Nov 4, 00:00 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$1.3KNov 3, 02:14 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$1.4KNov 3, 02:14 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$846.12Nov 3, 02:14 UTC
• REWARD$28.35Nov 3, 00:00 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$9.44Nov 2, 23:09 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$8.62Nov 2, 22:30 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$327.24Nov 2, 22:30 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$784.77Nov 2, 21:21 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$289.49Nov 2, 14:33 UTC

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.