Thorny-Allocation
0x2d0a1915b543fea5181d1b1463f90758359ac825
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
146
Open notional
$7.59
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$16.59
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 146- YES
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
214 shares @ 7.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.59
$-7.41
- TEAM VITALITY
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner
25000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 10?
210 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-55.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 11?
201 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-85.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 2?
155 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
150 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
147 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-17.58
- SLOVAKIA
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakia
144 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-17.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$6.43May 30, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.06May 30, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$5.02May 30, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$2.41May 30, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$2.31May 30, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$5.16May 30, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$0.06May 30, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$6.01May 30, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$5.87May 30, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$9.93May 30, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5$3.56May 30, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?$3.08May 30, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$18.66May 28, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.07May 28, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.07May 28, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.05May 28, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.03May 28, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.07May 28, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.05May 28, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.04May 28, 13:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $4.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 06:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 18:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.