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OtherExpires Jun 30, 2026

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?

Probability

49¢

1h

-8.0pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$26.5K

Liquidity

$2.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

+12.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:35
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Heavy volume on this book — 9.8× turnover

    $26.5k traded against $2.7k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 1569h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $2.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1569.4h

    LOW
  • 14:35Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 1569h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 17.5pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 45.5pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 41.0pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 39.5pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 42.5pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 46.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 49.5pp

    to 90¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 44.5pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 45.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 45.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 41.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 17.0pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 17.0pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.5pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 19.5pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Valve adds the map Cache to the official map pool by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Cache is added to the Active Duty pool, it must remain there continuously for at least 48 hours for this market to resolve to “Yes”. Temporary additions (e.g., for testing) that are reversed within 48 hours will not count. If Cache is added after the deadline, this market will resolve to “No”, even if the addition was announced earlier. For the purpose of this market, “Valve” refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series. For the purpose of this market, the “official map pool” refers to the Active Duty map group in Counter-Strike 2 (CS2), which consists of the maps eligible for both competitive matchmaking and professional tournaments. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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