Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
Probability
49¢
1h
-8.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$26.5K
Liquidity
$2.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+12.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Heavy volume on this book — 9.8× turnover
$26.5k traded against $2.7k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1569h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $2.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1569.4h
- 14:35SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1569h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 54¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 61¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 53¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 45.5pp
to 82¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 41.0pp
to 82¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 39.5pp
to 81¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 42.5pp
to 83¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 46.0pp
to 86¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 49.5pp
to 90¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 44.5pp
to 85¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 45.0pp
to 85¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 45.5pp
to 86¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 41.0pp
to 81¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 54¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 54¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 49¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.5pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 46¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Valve adds the map Cache to the official map pool by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Cache is added to the Active Duty pool, it must remain there continuously for at least 48 hours for this market to resolve to “Yes”. Temporary additions (e.g., for testing) that are reversed within 48 hours will not count. If Cache is added after the deadline, this market will resolve to “No”, even if the addition was announced earlier. For the purpose of this market, “Valve” refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series. For the purpose of this market, the “official map pool” refers to the Active Duty map group in Counter-Strike 2 (CS2), which consists of the maps eligible for both competitive matchmaking and professional tournaments. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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