0x2d0b859786b4088ec5699749d394036795b9050c
0x2d0b859786b4088ec5699749d394036795b9050c
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-152.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 40.5 on December 12, 2025?
291 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on December 12, 2025?
142 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2025?
129 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?
88 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on December 12, 2025?
83 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 23?
34 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
29 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 22?$1.00Dec 22, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 23?$20.00Dec 22, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$20.00Dec 22, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.00Dec 22, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brian Armstrong say "Perpetual Futures" or "Perp" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?$43.66Dec 22, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2025?$1.00Dec 12, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$20.00Dec 12, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Armstrong say "Perpetual Futures" or "Perp" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?$20.00Dec 12, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Armstrong say "Perpetual Futures" or "Perp" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?$21.00Dec 12, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Armstrong say "Stablecoin" 2+ times at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?$1.00Dec 12, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on December 12, 2025?$20.00Dec 8, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be less than 40.5 on December 12, 2025?$20.00Dec 8, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on December 12, 2025?$20.00Dec 8, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?$21.00Dec 6, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCowboys vs. Lions$3.00Dec 5, 02:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $13.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 02:14 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 22, 17:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".