Piercing-Oregano
0x2d1b709a49bd907577f1319df1a79d6a0c9d5adb
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$15.1K
Total PnL
$-340.66
Realised
$108.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4127 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.1K
$8.12
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
1713 shares @ 71.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$197.04
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2000 shares @ 45.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.1K
$170.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1510 shares @ 57.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$898.45
$37.95
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
800 shares @ 77.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$792.40
$176.40
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
800 shares @ 81.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$651.92
$3.92
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
720 shares @ 70.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$597.60
$93.60
- YES
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
760 shares @ 70.9¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$535.80
$-2.97
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2930 shares @ 17.1¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$470.26
$-30.77
- YES
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1560 shares @ 32.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$460.20
$-39.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$364.32Jun 13, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.7KJun 13, 05:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.41Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.41Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.41Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.41Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.07Jun 9, 03:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.41Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.77Jun 8, 13:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.41Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.37Jun 7, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.77Jun 7, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$49.00Jun 7, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28.10Jun 7, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.31Jun 7, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$249.17Jun 7, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.05Jun 7, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.41Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$42.09Jun 6, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.78Jun 6, 18:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $115.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 10:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.