Majestic-Hardship
0x2d1da64475156b026e0c3d37d5fa7fb38e4381e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$172.49
Total PnL
$5.43
Realised
$-0.83
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by June 30?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$38.25
$13.25
- YES
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?
45 shares @ 54.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$30.00
$5.82
- NO
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by June 30?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$26.50
$1.50
- YES
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by June 30?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$23.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 450.0k by May 31?
27 shares @ 50.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.33
$1.88
- NO
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by June 30?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$11.75
$-13.25
- NO
Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 450.0k by May 31?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.60
$-1.40
- YES
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 700.0k by May 31?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.50
$-2.50
- YES
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?
61 shares @ 1.6¢·now 9.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.57
$4.57
- YES
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
84 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.49
$-2.11
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$19.40May 19, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$1.82May 19, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$1.82May 19, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$26.00May 19, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$1.00May 19, 12:45 UTC
- SPLITWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by June 30?$50.00May 19, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 700.0k by May 31?$2.95May 19, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 700.0k by May 31?$8.85May 19, 12:27 UTC
- SPLITWill Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 700.0k by May 31?$20.00May 19, 12:17 UTC
- SPLITWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$50.00May 19, 12:15 UTC
- SPLITWill Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 450.0k by May 31?$20.00May 19, 12:03 UTC
- MERGEWill Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 450.0k by May 31?$13.10May 19, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 450.0k by May 31?$2.62May 19, 12:02 UTC
- SPLITWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by June 30?$50.00May 19, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by June 30?$15.56May 19, 11:52 UTC
- SPLITWill Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 450.0k by May 31?$20.00May 19, 11:50 UTC
- MERGEWill Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 450.0k by May 31?$50.00May 19, 11:50 UTC
- SPLITWill Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 450.0k by May 31?$50.00May 19, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by June 30?$34.00May 19, 11:45 UTC
- SPLITWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by June 30?$50.00May 19, 11:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $51.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 11:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 13:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".