UnclassifiedExpires Jan 1, 2027

Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Probability

70¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+4.5pp

24h Vol

$2.2K

Liquidity

$20.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

+30.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 10:00Apr 27, 2026, 08:56
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 1

    Up 5pp over 24h

    Now 70¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $20.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5972.1h

    LOW

Price movement

+4.5pp over the last 24h, now 70¢.

Biggest hourly move: +28.5pp at 3d ago (to 72¢).

Show top 8 of 44 hourly moves
  • 3d ago · +28.5pp → 72¢
  • 3d ago · +27.5pp → 70¢
  • 3d ago · +23.5pp → 62¢
  • 3d ago · +22.5pp → 62¢
  • 3d ago · +22.5pp → 62¢
  • 3d ago · +22.5pp → 62¢
  • 4d ago · +22.5pp → 62¢
  • 4d ago · +25.5pp → 65¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

10
Same eventSolstice FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Solstice's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Solstice (https://x.com/solsticefi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jan 1, 2027
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
using the total token supply multiplied by the token price
Link
x.com
Type
Ambiguous wording
Confidence
extracted · low
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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Top Holders

20 wallets
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