Alienated-Overhead
0x2d1edbfcf192a91f27b9258f98152b41bcf7d82c
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$5.93
Total PnL
$-6.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
3 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.55
$0.04
- PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.40
$0.24
- SEATTLE MARINERS
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.29
$0.05
- NO
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 28.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.69
$-1.71
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
2797 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
2794 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Monster Hunter Wilds win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
2782 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
2722 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
1202 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-601.00
- YES
Will Dara Khosrowshahi be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?
670 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-335.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres$1.17May 27, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Athletics$1.24May 27, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$1.20May 27, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?$1.40May 27, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMKevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?$1.52May 27, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Eintracht Spandau (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group B$1.56May 27, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons$2.07May 27, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - 1win Essence Decider Stage$2.18May 27, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Eintracht Spandau (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group B$1.37May 7, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - 1win Essence Decider Stage$2.17May 7, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?$1.52May 7, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Ethan Quinn vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz$1.56May 7, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?$1.29May 7, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$2.51May 7, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$1.27May 7, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMRolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Gabriel Diallo$1.17May 7, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMMadrid: Yue Yuan vs Carmen Gallardo$1.24May 7, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMTrail Blazers vs. Nuggets$1.31May 7, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Juventus FC win on 2026-04-06?$1.40May 7, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-06?$1.43May 7, 15:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 11:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 03:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".