0x2d48c834897176269fddde6043e566f6bbc1678c
0x2d48c834897176269fddde6043e566f6bbc1678c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
83
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$91.58
Realised
$51.03
Win rate
88%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- NO
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?
404 shares @ 20.1¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$256.63
$175.36
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
150 shares @ 77.7¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$142.30
$25.95
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
130 shares @ 77.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$112.34
$12.34
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
123 shares @ 81.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$103.08
$3.09
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?
139 shares @ 72.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$94.44
$-5.56
- NO
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
119 shares @ 77.3¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$59.52
$-32.51
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?
176 shares @ 29.7¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$58.03
$5.84
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
249 shares @ 23.6¢·now 23.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$57.60
$-1.11
- NO
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?
197 shares @ 35.5¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$57.26
$-12.83
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
72 shares @ 85.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$55.37
$-6.19
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?$0.05Jun 14, 00:02 UTC
- REWARD$31.09Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?$2.36Jun 13, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?$2.88Jun 13, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?$7.28Jun 13, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?$4.20Jun 13, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?$5.82Jun 13, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?$0.65Jun 13, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?$2.08Jun 13, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$120.00Jun 13, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32.57Jun 13, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$30.00Jun 13, 18:52 UTC
- MERGEUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?$2.56Jun 13, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?$9.33Jun 13, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$4.50Jun 13, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$4.55Jun 13, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$3.52Jun 13, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$3.92Jun 13, 17:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $7.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 11:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.