Cruel-Abbey
0x2d6e71e5fda2b61cf33d19a322cee6c35302d15d
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$41.24
Total PnL
$-14.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July?
12 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$11.62
$0.02
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?
11 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$10.67
$0.07
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in July?
10 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$9.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?
6 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.59
$-0.01
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
3 shares @ 99.3¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.68
$-0.02
- YES
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?
905 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$2.70Jul 21, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$5.60Jul 21, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in July?$10.00Jul 16, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July?$11.60Jul 16, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?$10.60Jul 8, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?$1.50Jul 4, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$246.24Jul 4, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?$1.50Jul 3, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?$1.30Jul 1, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?$1.10Jul 1, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?$1.10Jun 28, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?$1.30Jun 28, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.40Jun 28, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.40Jun 26, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$245.53Jun 7, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$112.77Jun 2, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $130 in May?$2.61Jun 1, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?$5.03Jun 1, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?$9.12Jun 1, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $40 in May?$2.32Jun 1, 11:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $36.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 15:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 22:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.