Frivolous-Aircraft
0x2da6716c09697c6209a794c2b55a66fe7595867f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$85.36
Total PnL
$-13.39
Realised
$-2.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
11 shares @ 95.8¢·now 89.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.32
$-0.68
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
10 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$10.30
$0.32
- NO
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
10 shares @ 93.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.67
$0.67
- NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
9 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
9 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$9.02
$0.02
- NO
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
6 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$6.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
6 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.02
$0.02
- ADOLFO VALLEJO
Madrid Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Pedro Martinez
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$5.48
$0.38
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
5 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.24
$0.24
- NO
Will "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$5.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Pedro Martinez$5.11Apr 20, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$5.00Apr 20, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?$10.00Apr 20, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$6.58Apr 20, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMUS confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?$7.53Apr 20, 14:54 UTC
- REWARD$1.83Apr 1, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$3.85Mar 31, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.13Mar 31, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$6.00Mar 30, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$6.00Mar 30, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$9.00Mar 30, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$9.00Mar 30, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.00Mar 30, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?$0.54Mar 30, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Player 162 win Beast Games: Season 2?$5.15Mar 30, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the February Meeting?$7.05Mar 30, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation be between 2.0% and 2.2% in January?$7.29Mar 30, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8.5m?$13.65Mar 30, 10:51 UTC
- REWARD$7.49Feb 5, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.70Feb 4, 19:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $10.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 10:32 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 14:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.