Stable-Caribou
0x2db11f03c81750dd047b84910fa3310b1eae4778
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$46.56
Total PnL
$-37.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.60
$2.60
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$10.00
$0.42
- NO
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 14?
6 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$6.00
$1.92
- NO
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.00
$0.30
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.00
$1.55
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.86
$-2.14
- YES
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.19
$1.19
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.46
$-0.54
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
20 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.45
$-0.15
- YES
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?
330 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$5.14May 9, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?$10.00May 9, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$2.00May 9, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTulsi Gabbard out by March 31?$1.40Jan 11, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 14?$4.08Jan 11, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?$4.70Jan 11, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 3, 2026?$10.00Jan 11, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 3, 2026?$9.99Jan 3, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$1.60Jan 3, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$9.58Jan 3, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$3.45Jan 3, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$1.10Jan 3, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?$1.11Jan 3, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMMajor meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?$1.18Jan 3, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?$2.20Jan 3, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US recognize Palestine in 2025?$2.22Jan 3, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMChina x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$2.22Jan 3, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?$4.17Jan 3, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$5.43Jan 3, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$5.68Jan 3, 23:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $4.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 21, 15:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 22:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.