Thin-Toenail
0x2db3c0fd8d1992dbaea3bd75062d127425efdd82
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-93.42
Realised
$14.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
323 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.01
- NO
Clavicular unbanned from Kick by January 31?
125 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
93 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
77 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?
65 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?
53 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
50 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.51
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
20 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$44.08Jan 3, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$95.99Jan 3, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLKaty Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?$19.23Jan 3, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?$7.00Jan 3, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?$39.32Jan 3, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$41.23Jan 3, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$40.00Dec 30, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$33.91Dec 30, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$20.00Dec 27, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular unbanned from Kick by January 31?$30.00Dec 27, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?$40.00Dec 23, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$40.00Dec 23, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$51.00Dec 22, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$3.36Dec 22, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.81Dec 22, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.21Dec 22, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.93Dec 22, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.03Dec 22, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.15Dec 22, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.50Dec 22, 07:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $24.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 17:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 10:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".