Shoddy-Vanilla
0x2dbcf2adff45e3e0305d1971ab7487feb2afc686
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$375.88
Total PnL
$-864.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
236 shares @ 45.5¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$156.75
$49.61
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
84 shares @ 59.5¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$49.19
$-0.81
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
87 shares @ 57.6¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$45.53
$-4.47
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
55 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$34.73
$-0.27
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
65 shares @ 46.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$30.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
61 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$30.31
$0.31
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
64 shares @ 47.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$29.04
$-0.96
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 16?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or higher on March 15?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$30.48Jun 1, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-26?$50.64Jun 1, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$50.61Jun 1, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?$30.49Jun 1, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$35.38Jun 1, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$30.46Jun 1, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$175.37Jun 1, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?$0.03Jun 1, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?$0.11Jun 1, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?$0.21Jun 1, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$52.63May 18, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$116.23Apr 28, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$100.00Apr 22, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$100.00Apr 22, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 18?$1.00Mar 16, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 18?$1.00Mar 16, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on March 18?$1.00Mar 16, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 17?$1.00Mar 16, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 17?$1.00Mar 16, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 17?$1.00Mar 16, 11:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $15.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 16:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 07:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".