Orderly-Journalist
0x2dc3ecf72e7c6779b1f6bab160ba771f885e6c62
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$65.97
Total PnL
$0.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$29.90Jul 11, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$77.00Jul 11, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?$65.94Jul 11, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$76.93Jun 21, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$29.78Jun 11, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$33.00May 23, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$127.00May 23, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$125.67May 22, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$32.50May 22, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?$130.00May 6, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?$129.88May 5, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$52.05May 4, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$52.00Apr 30, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 475 Million subscribers by March 31?$37.40Apr 7, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of March?$65.20Apr 7, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 31?$69.80Apr 7, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 475 Million subscribers by March 31?$32.34Mar 31, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 475 Million subscribers by March 31?$4.99Mar 31, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 31?$69.66Mar 31, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of March?$64.94Mar 10, 08:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $50.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 02:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 02:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.