Red-Agony
0x2dfa4e20b0abd351e55a70a36d8792cf4482c7a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$197.47
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$10.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
5063 shares @ 7.9¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$197.47
$-202.53
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 5?
1700 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-138.20
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1488 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-52.00
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 27-February 2?
1229 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- KHAMZAT CHIMAEV
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
1100 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on February 5?
1100 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-34.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 2?
1094 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 3?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 6?
1000 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-171.99
- YES
Will Solana reach $130 in February?
833 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$418.42May 11, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$10.30May 10, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$80.48May 10, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?$5.00Feb 7, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$1.00Feb 7, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?$46.23Feb 6, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 in February?$50.00Feb 5, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?$10.00Feb 5, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?$9.18Feb 5, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?$3.82Feb 5, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 5?$41.92Feb 5, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 5?$1.07Feb 5, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by March 31?$3.25Feb 4, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 6?$3.18Feb 4, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$1.74Feb 4, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 6?$2.22Feb 4, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 5?$10.00Feb 4, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$1.50Feb 4, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.38Feb 4, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by March 31?$0.30Feb 4, 21:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $50.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 18:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 12:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.