UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Probability
21¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$5.5K
Liquidity
$125.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 21¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $5.5k traded against $125.2k of visible liquidity (0.04× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 347.1h
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 21¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 21¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 21¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 21¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.0pp
to 20¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Sean Strickland" if Sean Strickland is officially declared the winner of the fight against Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Khamzat Chimaev" if Khamzat Chimaev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 10, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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