Insidious-Hour
0x2e245bcf915275a3b1f84d7b4632fc04577a8641
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$4.47
Total PnL
$-37.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$1.74
$0.24
- YES
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 90.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.66
$0.16
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will A Minecraft Movie be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sean Winter win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- CLIPPERS
Grizzlies vs. Clippers
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 19, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?$1.50Mar 19, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$1.50Mar 19, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roy Cooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in North Carolina?$1.11Mar 19, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.00Mar 3, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.24Mar 3, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$2.19Mar 3, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$3.34Mar 3, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mamady Doumbouya win the 2025 Guinean presidential election?$1.05Jan 22, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$1.07Jan 22, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.09Jan 22, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.01Jan 22, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by January 31?$1.02Jan 22, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.03Jan 22, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.04Jan 22, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Lilo & Stitch' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.05Jan 22, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?$1.09Jan 22, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Studio win Best Television Series – Comedy or Musical at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.10Jan 22, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?$1.11Jan 22, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMTrail Blazers vs. Thunder$1.11Jan 22, 09:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 09:18 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 04:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".