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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 28, 2026

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?

Probability

92¢

1h

-0.3pp

24h

-1.1pp

24h Vol

$6.3K

Liquidity

$12.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

-1.8pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 04:00Apr 25, 2026, 01:20
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 70.7h

    HIGH
  • 01:20Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 71h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 28, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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