Deafening-Yawl
0x2e57351bf530137c7fe659084c330c3377992deb
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$791.05
Total PnL
$-830.56
Realised
$-18.42
Win rate
0%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
296 shares @ 86.3¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 5, 2026$244.20
$-11.11
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
270 shares @ 57.3¢·now 72.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$195.75
$41.05
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
300 shares @ 49.7¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$136.50
$-12.50
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
100 shares @ 38.5¢·now 74.6¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$74.60
$36.10
- YES
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
399 shares @ 36.5¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$57.79
$-87.57
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
300 shares @ 21.3¢·now 14.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$43.50
$-20.50
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
200 shares @ 11.9¢·now 10.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$20.10
$-3.80
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
115 shares @ 28.6¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$7.47
$-25.37
- YES
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Sep 24, 2026$4.72
$1.43
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
200 shares @ 11.8¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$4.70
$-18.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$50.42Aug 13, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?$33.48Aug 10, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?$33.10Aug 10, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$16.00Aug 10, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$47.00Aug 10, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$47.00Aug 10, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?$58.17Aug 10, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?$52.23Aug 10, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?$36.78Aug 10, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?$43.30Aug 10, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?$271.54Aug 6, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$23.12Jul 21, 20:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$11.07Jul 20, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$55.00Jul 20, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$48.00Jul 20, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$84.36Jul 20, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$750.00Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $35.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 23:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.