Grateful-Candle
0x2e603f1533cbec9a9a57115f29f6ac4df039b440
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$334.97
Realised
$340.38
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1169 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$954.49
$369.99
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1169 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$214.51
$-369.99
- YES
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
11173 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$50.28
$-1.32
- YES
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
200 shares @ 15.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$33.00
$3.00
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$19.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
500 shares @ 2.9¢·now 1.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.75
$-7.89
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$5.30
$0.30
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?
32 shares @ 7.8¢·now 7.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$2.38
$-0.11
- YES
Will Erika Hilton win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
106 shares @ 0.3¢·now 1.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.70
$1.38
- YES
Will Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
49 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.36
$0.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?$0.69May 28, 12:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 28, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.30May 27, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.00May 27, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.52May 27, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.52May 27, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.30May 27, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Erika Hilton win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$2.64May 27, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.30May 27, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.33May 27, 02:29 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$604.00May 27, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.01May 27, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.01May 27, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.15May 27, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.19May 27, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.01May 26, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.01May 26, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.01May 26, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.31May 26, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.31May 26, 19:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $0.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 11:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 12:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".