SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Dec 6, 2026

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Probability

5¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.1pp

24h Vol

$11.4K

Liquidity

$120.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

-0.6pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 20:00Apr 25, 2026, 19:42
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $11.4k traded against $120.2k of visible liquidity (0.09× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5380h with open resolution ambiguity.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5380.3h

    LOW
  • 19:42Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 5380h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-0.1pp over the last 24h, now 5¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventF1 Drivers' Champion
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 6, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 seasonAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
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