Simple-Vagrant
0x2e82189a2442b019a22a1a56db99022fc836a9c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
91
Open notional
$33.12
Total PnL
$-307.48
Realised
$0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
463 shares @ 2.2¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$25.68
$15.68
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
261 shares @ 3.8¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$7.44
$-2.56
- NO
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?
120 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.05
- YES
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?
56 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
40 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
40 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.15
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
40 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.36
- YES
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
35 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.85
- YES
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$10.23May 30, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?$5.03May 18, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?$14.00May 6, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-04-18?$3.00Apr 19, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?$3.00Apr 18, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?$6.48Apr 14, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?$4.37Apr 14, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?$2.00Apr 13, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?$5.00Apr 13, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?$30.46Apr 13, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?$5.00Apr 12, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$10.00Apr 2, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$10.00Apr 2, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?$5.27Apr 2, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?$10.05Apr 2, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win on 2026-03-31?$11.70Apr 2, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMMen's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland$14.99Apr 2, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?$5.00Mar 31, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-03-31?$5.00Mar 31, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?$3.00Mar 10, 19:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $3.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 11:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 16:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".