0x2e8d1ee5ca422b53a2702a8695a97e06cf128ea3
0x2e8d1ee5ca422b53a2702a8695a97e06cf128ea3
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
119
Open notional
$9.66
Total PnL
$-433.22
Realised
$-13.65
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 119- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$4.99
$2.10
- YES
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
62 shares @ 5.4¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$2.22
$-1.11
- YES
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.06
$0.03
- YES
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?
8 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$0.36
$0.02
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
18 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.03
$-1.41
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
90 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-03-20?
60 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-7.26
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
50 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
44 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.15
- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
38 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$1.50Apr 22, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$2.80Apr 21, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$2.60Apr 21, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$2.20Apr 21, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$4.74Apr 21, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$1.40Apr 21, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$2.50Apr 21, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$0.83Apr 20, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$2.80Apr 20, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$0.16Apr 20, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$2.74Apr 20, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$5.00Apr 20, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.80Apr 20, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.20Apr 20, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$0.53Apr 19, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$4.82Apr 19, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$2.50Apr 19, 01:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$5.00Apr 18, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$0.91Apr 18, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$1.64Apr 18, 11:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 16:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 00:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.