Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

1. 1

   Up 1pp over 24h

   Now 43¢; flat in the last hour.

2. 2

   Light volume — move on a thin book

   Only $7.9k traded against $73.2k of visible liquidity (0.11× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

3. 3

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 4592h with open resolution ambiguity.

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This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.