Calm-Checking
0x2e92b45babfac8cf6e1136d221a707e83e448a0d
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.80
Total PnL
$-181.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.80
$-1.20
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 2, 2026?
967 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?
206 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
133 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?
77 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
76 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 11?
68 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
59 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.99
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 43.0 on March 6, 2026?
56 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?
52 shares @ 57.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during Monday press conference?$1.00Mar 9, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during Monday press conference?$2.00Mar 9, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during Monday press conference?$3.00Mar 9, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$9.33Mar 9, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?$30.00Mar 8, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?$26.62Mar 8, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?$10.00Mar 7, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?$30.00Mar 7, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?$0.00Mar 7, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 11?$35.00Mar 7, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?$35.58Mar 7, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$7.00Mar 6, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$2.00Mar 6, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$2.00Mar 6, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$2.21Mar 6, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$13.33Mar 6, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$2.00Mar 6, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.93Mar 6, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.00Mar 6, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$2.00Mar 6, 09:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $6.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 08:28 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 19:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.