Mealy-Destruction
0x2ed28459c6eb39e80daa120b9328dd97e5e89d82
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$39.75
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-338.62
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 2?
300 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$22.50
$-10.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 2?
230 shares @ 19.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$17.25
$-26.45
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
1760 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-98.56
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 28?
1130 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-24.86
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 25?
830 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-49.80
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 24?
500 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 1?
370 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 27?
365 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-50.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 23?
280 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-168.00
- IRAQ
Spread: France (-2.5)
250 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-142.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 2?$35.06Jul 2, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 2?$46.18Jul 2, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 2?$7.08Jul 2, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 2?$2.64Jul 2, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 2?$0.48Jul 2, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 2?$30.12Jul 2, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 2?$35.79Jul 2, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUnited States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5$91.00Jul 2, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 2?$99.49Jul 2, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 2?$79.30Jul 2, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5$62.07Jul 2, 00:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?$23.81Jul 1, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 1?$21.12Jul 1, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 1?$4.98Jul 1, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 1?$10.08Jul 1, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 1?$8.30Jul 1, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 1?$8.31Jul 1, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 1?$10.08Jul 1, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 1?$8.31Jul 1, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 1?$8.30Jul 1, 15:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $24.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 22:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 09:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.