Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
Probability
11¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$30.00
Liquidity
$5.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 11¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5986h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $5.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5986.4h
- 13:33SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5986h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Grok AI officially defeats T1 in any exhibition/competitive match of League of Legends played in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no match takes place between T1 and Grok AI or no winner can be determined for any reason by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from T1, X, Riot Games (if involved); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).