Shocked-Subsidence
0x2ee73e56c1cf6cdff1213ac07b2afebf340cce15
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$27.8K
Total PnL
$612.83
Realised
$130.52
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
10928 shares @ 92.6¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.4K
$318.24
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.4K
$1.9K
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
4121 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.8K
$37.29
- NO
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
3982 shares @ 91.3¢·now 93.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.7K
$73.11
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 23.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.6K
$-1.9K
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
1700 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$42.50
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$462.50
$2.50
- NO
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
352 shares @ 88.1¢·now 89.3¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$314.93
$4.35
- NO
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
307 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$305.92
$2.61
- NO
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by August 31?
146 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$144.61
$1.43
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.55Aug 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.55Aug 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?$526.16Aug 14, 02:04 UTC
- YIELD$1.57Aug 14, 00:13 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.0KAug 13, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?$2.3KAug 13, 01:45 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.0KAug 13, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?$857.61Aug 13, 01:37 UTC
- YIELD$1.82Aug 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by August 31?$53.54Aug 12, 11:49 UTC
- YIELD$1.82Aug 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$141.86Aug 11, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$318.14Aug 11, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran invades Kuwait by August 31?$303.31Aug 11, 01:50 UTC
- YIELD$1.82Aug 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.82Aug 10, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?$4.45Aug 9, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by August 31?$89.75Aug 9, 03:57 UTC
- YIELD$1.77Aug 9, 00:11 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.0KAug 8, 06:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $394.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 10:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.