Shocked-Subsidence
0x2ee73e56c1cf6cdff1213ac07b2afebf340cce15
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$23.7K
Total PnL
$206.18
Realised
$3.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
9176 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.1K
$40.71
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
9428 shares @ 92.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.8K
$124.41
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
2222 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.2K
$10.00
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
1146 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$5.10
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
1000 shares @ 96.9¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$973.49
$4.50
- NO
Will Starmer officially leave office by June 30?
675 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$663.86
$-1.70
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
600 shares @ 89.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$555.00
$19.00
- NO
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
171 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$169.89
$0.60
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
11 shares @ 96.1¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.21
$0.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer officially leave office by June 30?$665.94Jun 23, 05:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.93Jun 23, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$483.50Jun 22, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$388.40Jun 22, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$27.57Jun 22, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?$169.29Jun 22, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$11.03Jun 22, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$69.53Jun 22, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$104.20Jun 22, 15:45 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.5KJun 22, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$4.95Jun 22, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$993.00Jun 22, 14:24 UTC
- YIELD$1.01Jun 22, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$1.0KJun 21, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$995.00Jun 21, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$35.52Jun 21, 15:33 UTC
- YIELD$1.01Jun 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.99Jun 20, 00:18 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.5KJun 19, 07:29 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.9KJun 19, 07:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $685.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 15:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 05:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.