Lone-Intent
0x2ef4be8a496687d9a09377ae90cc359e45c66848
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$10.87
Total PnL
$-60.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Drake have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.87
$0.87
- YES
Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?
87 shares @ 45.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 8?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
23 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?
13 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?$30.00Mar 4, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake officially release Iceman by February 28, 2026?$2.10Feb 22, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?$10.00Feb 18, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?$10.00Feb 18, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?$10.00Feb 18, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake officially release Iceman by February 28, 2026?$10.00Feb 18, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?$0.03Feb 9, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$23.28Feb 9, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 8?$1.00Feb 8, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$10.00Feb 8, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?$2.00Feb 8, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$35.21Feb 8, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21?$0.00Feb 8, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: January$0.00Feb 8, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: January$53.42Feb 8, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$20.00Feb 8, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$20.00Jan 21, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21?$1.00Jan 21, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: January$20.00Jan 16, 17:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $12.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 17:52 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 09:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.