Rough-Holiday
0x2f03c2a4ea6cdb5e0eac5c29a58981339c70ec6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$8.8K
Total PnL
$756.71
Realised
$48.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
9092 shares @ 44.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.6K
$591.44
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
9357 shares @ 29.6¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.5K
$739.55
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1471 shares @ 34.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$360.29
$-139.70
- YES
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
9177 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$196.39
$-38.12
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2381 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$48.81
$-1.19
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$48.44
$-1.56
- YES
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1130 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$14.13
$-10.87
- YES
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2427 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.35
$-1.21
- YES
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
3073 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
506 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$31.49May 16, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$305.85May 16, 16:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$25.98May 14, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$289.18May 14, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$52.25May 14, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$52.21May 14, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.47May 14, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.48May 14, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$4.0KMay 13, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$500.00May 13, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$3.0KMay 13, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.30May 13, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$13.1KMay 13, 22:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.31May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 8, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $598.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".