Waterlogged-Column
0x2f2b6e3176e4914ccc79111dd9c704904d390f9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
55
Open notional
$10.3K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?
730 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.4¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$681.82
$46.72
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
646 shares @ 80.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$532.95
$16.15
- YES
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
694 shares @ 47.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$527.21
$201.17
- YES
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
540 shares @ 88.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$521.10
$45.90
- OVER
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5
897 shares @ 55.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$502.38
$8.97
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
497 shares @ 83.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$492.76
$80.26
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
437 shares @ 62.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$429.21
$158.50
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
418 shares @ 72.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$414.93
$113.62
- NO
Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?
645 shares @ 70.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$403.13
$-48.37
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
399 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$363.09
$15.96
Recent activity
- REDEEMGame Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5)$110.00Jun 13, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$402.11Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Monte vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage$29.00Jun 12, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage$138.71Jun 11, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMStuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios$810.41Jun 11, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMLibema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur$141.31Jun 11, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage$334.90Jun 11, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5)$50.60Jun 11, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage$0.00Jun 11, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMLibema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak$0.00Jun 11, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMLibema Open: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosa$0.00Jun 11, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMStuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe$0.00Jun 11, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMStuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci$0.00Jun 11, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Indiana Fever (-4.5)$0.00Jun 11, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5$0.00Jun 11, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: New York Liberty (-13.5)$0.00Jun 11, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays$0.00Jun 11, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMTexas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5$0.00Jun 11, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)$0.00Jun 11, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMLibema Open: Nuno Borges vs Terence Atmane$0.00Jun 11, 01:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $50.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 14:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.