Weird-Ethernet-Derby
0x2f4f2977a2f00edbb292c85c3d12aeb605927346
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$85.74
Total PnL
$-22.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?
20 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$20.16
$0.16
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?
20 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$20.08
$0.08
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$20.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
294 shares @ 5.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$7.47
$-7.53
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
5 shares @ 92.9¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
3 shares @ 96.2¢·now 97.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.04
$0.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$5.02May 16, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox$20.26May 16, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?$20.01May 16, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?$20.01May 16, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$20.48May 16, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.00May 16, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$15.57May 16, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$5.27May 16, 12:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $13.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 12:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 13:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".