Famous-Corduroy
0x2f86c751e5b4e3c95051092f5909403632f18e28
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-87.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 1AM ET
217 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on January 22?
182 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.29
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 26, 4AM ET
166 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.66
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 31?
117 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.63
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 24?
116 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.31
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on January 31?
115 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 26?
110 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.09
- UP
XRP Up or Down on April 25?
109 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 28?
108 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.49
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 28 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?
99 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.67
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 8?$203.63Jul 8, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 8?$200.98Jul 8, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1?$77.93Jun 1, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1?$2.83May 31, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 28?$1.59May 27, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 24?$2.47May 23, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 23?$172.26May 23, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 23?$169.33May 22, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 22?$2.67May 21, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 16?$198.56May 16, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 16?$197.17May 16, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $284 Week of April 13 2026?$40.00May 16, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 13?$1.90May 13, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 11?$1.47May 10, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?$169.52May 9, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?$166.64Apr 28, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 on April 19?$156.00Apr 28, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on April 25?$1.06Apr 25, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 on April 19?$153.66Apr 20, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 13?$184.96Apr 20, 01:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $59.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 14:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 16:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.