Jumbo-Article
0x2f8a659688f55b099f4e106b70017e4abac00887
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$211.37
Total PnL
$-23.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 15?
40 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$39.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 15?
30 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$29.98
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on May 15?
30 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 15, 2026$29.92
$-0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 15?
30 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 15, 2026$29.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?
20 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$19.97
$-0.03
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
17 shares @ 95.6¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$15.84
$-0.16
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
15 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$15.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
11 shares @ 92.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$10.76
$0.76
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$9.98
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$15.00May 14, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.00May 14, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 15?$40.00May 14, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 15?$30.00May 14, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 15?$30.00May 14, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on May 15?$30.00May 14, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$10.02May 14, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?$20.00May 14, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?$10.06May 14, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on May 13?$10.58May 14, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?$10.00May 13, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$10.04May 13, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 12?$40.04May 13, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?$50.56May 13, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on May 13?$10.03May 12, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?$50.04May 12, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 12?$40.00May 12, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?$0.00May 12, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?$0.00May 12, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?$10.01May 12, 07:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $28.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 03:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 06:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".