Plain-Ray
0x2f8d90f0099069fa3f650322bb882cf58447769b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-106.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
538 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 3?
94 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
62 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.20
- YES
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
55 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (February 15)
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$16.00Mar 17, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2.81Mar 17, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$11.70Mar 17, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?$1.13Mar 17, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.10Mar 17, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$5.00Mar 17, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$5.76Mar 2, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$3.78Feb 28, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?$1.79Feb 28, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 26?$2.00Feb 25, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$3.18Feb 25, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?$7.18Feb 25, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's meeting with Netanyahu not air?$1.11Feb 11, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Cocaine" this week? (February 15)$1.80Feb 11, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (February 15)$1.00Feb 11, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 11, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$3.00Feb 11, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?$4.00Feb 11, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?$5.00Feb 11, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?$10.00Feb 10, 10:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $4.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 17:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 15:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.