Watery-Tug
0x2f90713229adf6c89a9916601650cce833e8e17f
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$198.30
Total PnL
$-52.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will SpaceX have 14 or more launches in May?
80 shares @ 65.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$53.85
$1.99
- NO
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?
80 shares @ 54.1¢·now 53.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$42.40
$-0.88
- NO
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
99 shares @ 25.3¢·now 43.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.37
$17.41
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 6?
22 shares @ 62.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 6, 2026$22.47
$8.37
- NO
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
14 shares @ 72.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.32
$1.32
- NO
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.11
$0.11
- NO
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
41 shares @ 49.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.73
$-13.27
- YES
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
20 shares @ 17.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.60
$2.20
- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?
40 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.40
$-1.60
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.05
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$5.213h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$4.143h ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?$44.073h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 6?$0.003h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 6?$13.853h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on May 6?$0.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?$10.214h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 6?$9.621d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 6?$4.741d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on May 6?$17.821d ago
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$20.411d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?$10.111d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.141d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 6?$9.301d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$3.511d ago
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 14 or more launches in May?$52.771d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$21.781d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$3.921d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$9.6583d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$5.0083d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $9.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 363d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
