0x2fc1d7e8543d9cebc515d28d84e7af5fadf62932
0x2fc1d7e8543d9cebc515d28d84e7af5fadf62932
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.50
Total PnL
$-199.37
Realised
$-0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 16?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
2710 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.71
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
2421 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
1726 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$1.04May 17, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$1.04May 17, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 18?$1.08May 17, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$3.12May 13, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$3.12May 13, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$2.08May 13, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$1.06May 13, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$1.81May 13, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?$5.00Feb 23, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MEXC be accused of insider trading?$10.00Feb 23, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tether be accused of insider trading?$1.00Feb 23, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grayscale be accused of insider trading?$1.00Feb 23, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Upbit be accused of insider trading?$2.00Feb 23, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 18?$2.00Feb 18, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 18?$1.00Feb 18, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 18?$1.00Feb 18, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?$1.00Feb 18, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.04Feb 17, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 18?$2.00Feb 17, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 18?$2.00Feb 17, 21:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 14:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 22:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".