Charming-Ribbon
0x2fdb5df2a326fdfad9ebd030cafe72359da88ffc
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$4.9K
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-94.72
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
2046 shares @ 96.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$2.0K
$68.08
- NO
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
582 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$576.07
$11.98
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
321 shares @ 93.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$320.25
$20.80
- NO
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
317 shares @ 94.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$316.45
$16.45
- NO
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
317 shares @ 94.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$315.87
$15.30
- YES
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
316 shares @ 95.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$314.41
$14.34
- NO
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
311 shares @ 96.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$309.98
$9.98
- NO
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
309 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$308.35
$8.35
- NO
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in June 2026?
266 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$264.25
$8.65
- NO
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
82 shares @ 94.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$82.37
$4.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$21.51Jun 20, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$194.29Jun 20, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$28.57Jun 20, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$47.62Jun 20, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$18.86Jun 20, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$74.62Jun 20, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$37.29Jun 20, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$178.57Jun 20, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$19.41Jun 19, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$19.41Jun 19, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$4.85Jun 19, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$81.14Jun 19, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$9.32Jun 19, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$9.32Jun 19, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$9.32Jun 19, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$11.55Jun 19, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$23.09Jun 19, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$300.79Jun 19, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$300.45Jun 19, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$301.36Jun 19, 07:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $109.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 03:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 02:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.