Double-Yoke
0x3028a07c18ad654cf1955801de0a71b77ef7b7c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$5.37
Total PnL
$-9.71
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will "Flowers in the Attic" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.14
$0.00
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.08
$0.00
- NO
Will Truist fail by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.08
$0.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.06
$0.00
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will "The Whistler" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
- YES
Will "With Love, Meghan: Holiday Celebration" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.64
- YES
Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.59
- NO
Will China's annual inflation increase by ≥0.7% in November?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.57
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.00Jun 27, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Truist fail by June 30, 2026?$7.02Jun 27, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Truist fail by June 30, 2026?$8.12Jun 27, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$8.11Jun 27, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$9.20Jun 27, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Flowers in the Attic" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$8.85Jun 27, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Flowers in the Attic" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$10.00Jun 27, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?$10.23Jun 27, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?$11.30Jun 27, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Jun 6, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Whistler" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?$4.04May 17, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.13May 17, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?$1.01May 8, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?$1.05May 8, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Funny AF with Kevin Hart" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$1.08May 8, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) beat quarterly earnings?$1.12May 8, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$1.13May 8, 19:06 UTC
- REWARD$0.59Apr 29, 00:30 UTC
- SPLITWill "The Whistler" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?$4.04Apr 28, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?$4.04Apr 28, 10:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $5.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 17:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 02:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.