Excited-Crunch-Debt
0x303259b9c8bac8141faadb431a33c3f07d0f8477
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$46.53
Total PnL
$0.76
Realised
$1.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
45 shares @ 17.4¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.93
$4.08
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
10 shares @ 95.4¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.79
$0.24
- YES
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?
10 shares @ 60.5¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.05
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
5 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.33
$-0.02
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.77
$-0.33
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
5 shares @ 53.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.33
$-0.33
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
5 shares @ 35.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.75
$0.00
- NO
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
5 shares @ 33.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.68
$0.02
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 32.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.63
$0.02
- YES
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 15.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.55
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.31Jun 8, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?$0.25Jun 8, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.59Jun 8, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.35Jun 8, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?$3.10Jun 8, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?$3.05Jun 8, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaquake by June 30?$3.85Jun 8, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$1.75Jun 8, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake by June 30?$3.40Jun 8, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaquake by June 30?$4.25Jun 8, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake by June 30?$4.10Jun 8, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.60Jun 8, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.97Jun 8, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.08Jun 7, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.22Jun 7, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.20Jun 7, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.96Jun 7, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.03Jun 7, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea win the World Cup?$1.00Jun 7, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.07Jun 7, 19:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 00:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 02:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.