Empty-Mouton
0x3083e0a346c192e61a435d0e75e3f848e5479286
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$26.75
Total PnL
$2.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$20.00
$9.80
- NO
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$0.55
- YES
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.93
$-1.52
- YES
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.82
$-1.32
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
4 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.32
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?$7.64Mar 1, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.08Jan 23, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.49Jan 23, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.04Jan 23, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.25Jan 23, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.82Jan 23, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.16Jan 23, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.26Jan 23, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYInsurrection Act invoked by December 31?$2.45Jan 17, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYInsurrection Act invoked by January 31?$4.45Jan 17, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?$2.15Jan 16, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$10.20Jan 11, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?$2.16Jan 7, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?$1.32Jan 7, 11:39 UTC
- MERGEIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.20Jan 6, 00:09 UTC
- SPLITIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.20Jan 6, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?$8.70Jan 5, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?$8.30Jan 5, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 29-January 4?$2.43Jan 4, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 3, 00:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $2.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 04:25 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 07:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.