Complicated-Homeownership
0x30848403944261dca905f301e15ed653e0690209
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$148.45
Total PnL
$-235.62
Realised
$-56.82
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?
126 shares @ 79.3¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$112.16
$12.16
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.29
$3.29
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 9.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.71
$2.71
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.56
$1.56
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.69
$-1.31
- YES
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
26 shares @ 19.2¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.64
$-1.36
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.87
$-2.13
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.79
$-2.21
- YES
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.74
$-9.26
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 1-7?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?$100.83May 21, 07:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$26.32May 18, 08:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $22.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 04:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".