Firm-Bake
0x30acc0de763b17169a197c358c77c401f5875867
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$370.83
Total PnL
$-74.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?
200 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$200.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?
130 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$130.13
$0.13
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
10 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$10.46
$0.46
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trenten Merrill win The Bachelorette Season 22?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$9.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $430-$435 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?
80 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $435-$440 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?
70 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?$130.01May 21, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?$200.01May 21, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.00May 21, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$10.00May 21, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?$10.00May 21, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$10.01May 21, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?$10.02May 21, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Georgia win Eurovision 2026?$10.02May 21, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$10.03May 21, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?$146.69May 21, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$200.37May 21, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?$146.28Apr 15, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$200.00Apr 15, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trenten Merrill win The Bachelorette Season 22?$10.00Apr 15, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Georgia win Eurovision 2026?$10.00Apr 15, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$10.00Apr 15, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?$10.00Apr 15, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 15, 08:55 UTC
- REWARD$1.16Mar 19, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?$47.88Mar 18, 01:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $750.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 08:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 08:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.