Humongous-Lie
0x30be82246f52fed4596f4895bf127abeea27fed5
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$10.69
Total PnL
$-100.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 96.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.69
$0.34
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 21?
385 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.61
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 16?
283 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.38
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 1?
250 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.05
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 17?
184 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.78
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 11?
170 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.74
- FURMAN PALADINS
Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskies
170 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.81
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 9?
158 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.42
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 6?
156 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.28
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 28?
155 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$10.35Mar 25, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Venstre win 30+ seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$10.35Mar 25, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venstre win 30+ seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$10.25Mar 23, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 21?$1.65Mar 21, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 21?$1.02Mar 21, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 21?$2.94Mar 21, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$8.48Mar 21, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 20?$1.69Mar 20, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFurman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskies$7.82Mar 19, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 19?$1.12Mar 19, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 19?$1.52Mar 19, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 18?$0.16Mar 18, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 18?$1.05Mar 18, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 18?$0.57Mar 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 17?$3.12Mar 17, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 17?$0.78Mar 17, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 17?$0.52Mar 17, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 17?$0.36Mar 17, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 16?$5.74Mar 16, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "One Piece: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$0.82Mar 16, 08:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 05:43 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 07:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.