Absolute-Directory
0x30fa5ad12f313c1f707fa057a15348e2bcbe21f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-47.09
Realised
$-2.10
Win rate
0%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 42°C on June 11?
38 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 12?
22 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 12?
16 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 12?
13 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 17?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 10?$1.03Jun 10, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 42°C on June 11?$3.14Jun 10, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.42Jun 1, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.01May 29, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?$1.03May 21, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 20?$2.12May 20, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 20?$1.03May 20, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 16?$2.07May 15, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on May 15?$1.58May 15, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.05May 15, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on May 14?$1.01May 14, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on May 14?$1.01May 14, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 14?$1.03May 14, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on May 15?$1.03May 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 13?$0.91May 13, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 13?$0.38May 13, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 13?$1.03May 13, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 12?$4.36May 13, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 12?$1.05May 12, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 12?$3.11May 11, 21:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 22:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 04:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.