Caring-Calibre
0x3133628829be5f26546337f4d904aadf0778fcdd
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$457.86
Total PnL
$-272.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
224 shares @ 83.6¢·now 88.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$199.18
$11.58
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
108 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$104.57
$4.57
- YES
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
108 shares @ 92.2¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2027$95.46
$-4.54
- YES
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
132 shares @ 49.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$25.65
$-38.80
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
20 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$17.70
$-0.10
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
20 shares @ 74.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.30
$0.50
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
1017 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
39 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-35.39
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $165.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 06:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.